Mountain Brook, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

160
FXUS64 KBMX 290629
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
129 AM CDT Thu May 29 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 110 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025

 - A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) remains in place for today, with
   damaging winds and large hail being the main threats.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 110 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025

The pattern shift is finally here, as only a few more rounds of
showers and thunderstorms are expected today and tomorrow. Storms
are already expanding across the region, as a shortwave moves
through ahead of the main cold front anticipated tomorrow. The
SPC has maintained the Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5), mainly for
activity this morning, and early this afternoon. Any storms that
do become severe will be capable of producing damaging winds and
large hail. Thankfully, this activity will begin to diminish into
the late afternoon and evening hours, with a short break in the
rain expected for tonight.

By tomorrow, the trough and cold front that I`ve been mentioning
the last few days will finally begin to move into the Ohio Valley.
As such, thunderstorm chances will increase ahead of the front,
with portions of the region under a Marginal Risk once more. Just
like today, damaging winds and large hail will be the main threats
with any strong to severe storms.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 110 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025

Very nice weather is expected this weekend behind the cold front,
as afternoon highs will range in the low to mid-80s. Rain chances
will be mostly limited, except for Sunday, where some of our
northern zones may see some scattered showers and thunderstorms
associated with another passing system. However, upper-level
ridging will slowly build in over the east coast by the start of
the new workweek, with afternoon highs climbing back into the
upper-80s by Tuesday. The rest of the long-term looks to be
characterized by this ridge, with limited rain chances expected,
and temperatures returning to a more typical Summer feel.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025

Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to expand across the
region, with the intensity increasing past 29/12z. Thankfully, the
thunder should start to clear past 29/18z, with skies clearing
shortly thereafter as well. Until then, MVFR/IFR CIGS should
remain.

/44/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Humid and rainy conditions persist through the end of the work week
with thunderstorms returning to the forecast late tonight into
Thursday, as well as Friday. There are no elevated fire weather
concerns at this time. Some lower RH values return on Saturday
through the middle of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     75  62  78  55 /  80  30  80   0
Anniston    76  63  78  57 /  90  30  80   0
Birmingham  76  64  78  58 /  80  30  60   0
Tuscaloosa  79  65  80  59 /  90  20  50   0
Calera      76  64  78  59 /  90  30  60   0
Auburn      77  66  80  60 /  90  40  70  10
Montgomery  80  67  83  59 /  90  30  70   0
Troy        81  67  84  59 /  90  30  70  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM.../44/
LONG TERM..../44/
AVIATION.../44/